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<DIV dir=ltr><FONT size=2>Summer school for postdocs (and sr. grad students and junior professors) on hierarchical modeling sent to LISTSERV by Elizabeth Crone:</FONT></DIV>
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<DIV dir=ltr><FONT size=2>UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY IN ECOLOGICAL INFERENCE, FORECASTING, AND<BR>DECISION MAKING: AN INTRODUCTION TO MODERN STATISTICAL COMPUTATION<BR><BR>COURSE OVERVIEW:<BR>An 11-day summer institute will introduce ecologists and earth <BR>scientists to<BR>modern statistical computation techniques. Ecological inference and<BR>forecasting are limited by large and diverse sources of variability that<BR>operate at a range of scales. Hierarchical Bayes and Markov chain Monte<BR>Carlo simulation provide powerful tools for analyzing processes<BR>characterized by multiple sources of uncertainty and variability. <BR>Leading<BR>statisticians and ecologists will provide day-long presentations and<BR>hands-on training with computation techniques. The Summer School will<BR>convene at Duke University’s Center on Global Change in the Nicholas <BR>School<BR>of the Environment. The course website can be found at:<BR></FONT><A title=/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/ href="mip://059b2078/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/" target=_blank><FONT size=2>http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/</FONT></A><BR><BR><FONT size=2>FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE AND FUNDING<BR>The cost of lodging and meals will be covered by a grant to course<BR>organizers; participants may request up to $500 for travel to Duke<BR>University according to need.<BR><BR>AUDIENCE:<BR>Graduate students and postdocs<BR><BR>DATES OF COURSE:<BR>June 11 - 21, 2006<BR><BR>TO APPLY:<BR>Application ON-LINE through Feb 3. Accepted participants will be <BR>notified by<BR>Feb 10. Apply on-line by following this URL:<BR></FONT><A title=/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/application.aspx href="mip://059b2078/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/application.aspx" target=_blank><FONT size=2>http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/application.aspx</FONT></A><FONT size=2>.<BR><BR>INSTITUTE FORMAT:<BR>Half-day lectures each by a different leader in the field<BR>Afternoon and evening tutorials<BR>Computer labs<BR><BR>TECHNICAL TOPICS COVERED:<BR>Thinking conditionally: deconstructing & reconstructing complex problems<BR>Bayesian techniques<BR>Graphical/hierarchical modeling<BR>Computation using Gibbs sampling<BR><BR>LECTURERS INCLUDE:<BR>Subir Banerjee, University of Minnesota<BR>Jim Clark, Duke University<BR>Montse Fuentes, North Carolina State University<BR>Alan Gelfand, Duke University<BR>Ken Reckhow, Duke University<BR>Chris Wikle, University of Missouri<BR><BR>ORGANIZERS:<BR>James S. Clark, H.L. Blomquist Professor<BR>Nicholas School of the Environment & Dept Biology<BR>A221 LSRC<BR>Duke University<BR>Durham, NC 27708<BR>919-613-8036<BR>jimclark@duke.edu<BR></FONT><A title=/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/ href="mip://059b2078/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/" target=_blank><FONT size=2>http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/</FONT></A><BR><BR><FONT size=2>Carol Brewer<BR>Associate Professor<BR>Division of Biological Sciences<BR>University of Montana<BR>Missoula MT 59812<BR>carol.brewer@umontana.edu<BR></FONT><A title=/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.BioEd.org href="mip://059b2078/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.BioEd.org" target=_blank><FONT size=2>http://www.BioEd.org</FONT></A><BR><BR><FONT size=2>Leah Rutchick<BR>Center on Global Change<BR>Box 90658 // A-150 LSRC<BR>Duke University<BR>Durham, NC 27708<BR>rutchick@duke.edu<BR>Phone: 919-681-7180 Fax: 919-681-7176<BR><BR>FOR MORE INFORMATION:<BR>Contact Leah Rutchick at the numbers or e-mail provided above.<BR><BR><BR><BR>James S. Clark, H.L. Blomquist Professor<BR>Nicholas School of the Environment & Dept Biology<BR>A221 LSRC<BR>Duke University<BR>Durham, NC 27708<BR>919-613-8036<BR></FONT><A title=/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/ href="mip://059b2078/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/" target=_blank><FONT size=2>http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/</FONT></A><BR><BR></DIV>
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2>**************************</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Elizabeth E. Crone, Assistant Professor</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Wildlife Biology Program & Department of Ecosystem and Conservation Sciences</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>University of Montana</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Missoula MT 59812 USA</FONT></DIV>
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>phone: (406)243-5675</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>FAX: (406)243-4845</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>email: <A title=mailto:ecrone@forestry.umt.edu href="mailto:ecrone@forestry.umt.edu">ecrone@forestry.umt.edu</A></FONT></DIV></DIV>
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<DIV><FONT color=#004000 size=3 PTSIZE="12">Laurie Davies Adams<BR>Executive Director<BR>Coevolution Institute<BR>423 Washington St. 5th<BR>San Francisco, CA 94111<BR>415 362 1137<BR>www.coevolution.org<BR>www.nappc.org<BR><BR><B><I>Our future flies on the wings of pollinators.</B></I></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>