[Pollinator] ECOLOGICAL INFERENCE, FORECASTING CLASS

[Ladadams at aol.com]

Summer school for postdocs (and sr. grad students and junior professors) on 
hierarchical modeling sent to LISTSERV by Elizabeth Crone:

UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY IN ECOLOGICAL INFERENCE, FORECASTING, AND
DECISION MAKING: AN INTRODUCTION TO MODERN STATISTICAL COMPUTATION

COURSE OVERVIEW:
An 11-day summer institute will introduce ecologists and earth 
scientists to
modern statistical computation techniques. Ecological inference and
forecasting are limited by large and diverse sources of variability that
operate at a range of scales. Hierarchical Bayes and Markov chain Monte
Carlo simulation provide powerful tools for analyzing processes
characterized by multiple sources of uncertainty and variability.  
Leading
statisticians and ecologists will provide day-long presentations and
hands-on training with computation techniques. The Summer School will
convene at Duke University’s Center on Global Change in the Nicholas 
School
of the Environment. The course website can be found at:
http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/

FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE AND FUNDING
The cost of lodging and meals will be covered by a grant to course
organizers; participants may request up to $500 for travel to Duke
University according to need.

AUDIENCE:
Graduate students and postdocs

DATES OF COURSE:
June 11 - 21, 2006

TO APPLY:
Application ON-LINE through Feb 3. Accepted participants will be 
notified by
Feb 10. Apply on-line by following this URL:
http://www.bioed.org/forecasting/application.aspx.

INSTITUTE FORMAT:
Half-day lectures each by a different leader in the field
Afternoon and evening tutorials
Computer labs

TECHNICAL TOPICS COVERED:
Thinking conditionally: deconstructing & reconstructing complex problems
Bayesian techniques
Graphical/hierarchical modeling
Computation using Gibbs sampling

LECTURERS INCLUDE:
Subir Banerjee, University of Minnesota
Jim Clark, Duke University
Montse Fuentes, North Carolina State University
Alan Gelfand, Duke University
Ken Reckhow, Duke University
Chris Wikle, University of Missouri

ORGANIZERS:
James S. Clark, H.L. Blomquist Professor
Nicholas School of the Environment & Dept Biology
A221 LSRC
Duke University
Durham, NC 27708
919-613-8036
jimclark at duke.edu
http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/

Carol Brewer
Associate Professor
Division of Biological Sciences
University of Montana
Missoula MT  59812
carol.brewer at umontana.edu
http://www.BioEd.org

Leah Rutchick
Center on Global Change
Box 90658  //  A-150 LSRC
Duke University
Durham, NC  27708
rutchick at duke.edu
Phone: 919-681-7180   Fax: 919-681-7176

FOR MORE INFORMATION:
Contact Leah Rutchick at the numbers or e-mail provided above.



James S. Clark, H.L. Blomquist Professor
Nicholas School of the Environment & Dept Biology
A221 LSRC
Duke University
Durham, NC 27708
919-613-8036
http://www.biology.duke.edu/clarklab/



**************************
Elizabeth E. Crone, Assistant Professor
Wildlife Biology Program & Department of Ecosystem and Conservation Sciences
University of Montana
Missoula MT 59812 USA

phone: (406)243-5675
FAX: (406)243-4845
email: ecrone at forestry.umt.edu


Laurie Davies Adams
Executive Director
Coevolution Institute
423 Washington St. 5th
San Francisco, CA 94111
415 362 1137
www.coevolution.org
www.nappc.org

Our future flies on the wings of pollinators.
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